Oprah for president.

Posted by Pointman on January 12, 2018 · 18 Comments 

Barring any unforeseen accidents and a fair breeze behind him, Trump will be sailing into the 2020 election to win it most probably by a greater margin than he won in 2016. Trump has delivered more in one year than Obama did in eight, and you have to remember under the latter’s administration, everything was either in decline or simply going nowhere.

In that year, new jobs were actually created, unemployment among both black and Hispanic Americans has hit historic lows, the flight abroad of manufacturing from America was stopped, swathes of choking regulatory nonsense has been culled ruthlessly, the stock market keeps hitting new record highs, the dumping of cheap foreign subsidised goods into America was stopped, the foreign policy disasters left behind to him by Messrs Obama, Clinton and Kerry have been unfucked one by one, the Arabic states were told to stop covertly financing terrorism in the West or there would be consequences, ISIS was defeated, North Korea got faced down and little Ivan in the Kremlin has stayed very quiet behind its walls, since he knows he can’t bully Trump the way he did Obama for eight straight years.

All this was achieved despite an establishment swamp in Washington on both sides of the aisle determinedly resisting him both overtly and covertly and despite the media propaganda machine, Hollywood, NFL prima donnas, the fake news and the fake polls. Every one of those power blocks has ended up having a terrible year, especially on the financial front, as the average person punished them in response.

Apart from his own political acumen, the only aid he had was from a disintegrating Democrat party, who’ve quite frankly lost the plot and done themselves a power of no good in the perception of the electorate in the year since they voted for him to be president. By not actively politicking against him, but instead preferring to pursue things like the Russians colluding with Trump for the whole year like a dog with a bone they simply just couldn’t let go of, they’ve made themselves irrelevant to the ordinary person, only 5% of whom believe there’s anything to it.

It’s by now so ingrained a part of the Democrat/Media/Hollywood wet dream that it must be true, but even if it were, and such a thing would be devilishly hard to prove, people wouldn’t care and anyway, it still wouldn’t put Clinton into the White House.

The big message at year’s end was that America was back in town, and that’s been playing progressively better with the ordinary American’s growing sense of self-esteem, something which the previously mentioned power blocks disdained, almost to the point where you should be ashamed of raising a family, of your pride in culture and country, of not wanting to pander to men who wanted legal access to women’s toilets and changing rooms, right down to knowing there’s only two genders, no matter what sort of sexual weirdo some people self-proclaim themselves to be.

In the first few months of his presidency, Trump ruthlessly chopped down the cankered trees Obama had planted amid much fanfare from his fanboy media, and after clearing out of the Senate the Republican swampers in this year’s mid-terms, and with no legislative resistance left in Congress, he’ll burn down to stubble whatever’s left.

Predicting the political situation in three years time with any degree of certainty is obviously impossible, so we have to proceed forwards on the tentative assumption that it’ll be an extension of the current one, but by then, I feel Trump will actually have strengthened his hold on the reins of power in Washington, and the economy, if it progresses as it’s been doing for the last year, will be very strong. The question therefore becomes who will the candidates be?

Trump, obviously. He really does want to make America great again, and my feeling is he’ll hang onto power as long as he can to achieve that objective. The only caveat is that he’ll be approaching his mid seventies by then, so there’s a health consideration. He’s never smoked, drank or taken drugs his entire life and at face view, and by all personal accounts by those who campaigned with him for the presidency, has a remarkable vim and vigour about him for a man his age. He’ll run again.

Arguably, Hillary Clinton might have another go, powered by her massive sense of entitlement and equally massive hatred of Trump, but I think not. The party elders will take her aside and have a word in her ear. The real lesson of the 2016 campaign was that the electorate simply don’t like her, and that’s a hump any politician will struggle to get over. Given her allocation of blame in the aftermath of that loss to everyone but her, she’s since managed to deeply offend any useful demographic who might possibly have been turned to vote for her. It’s been a repeat of her “deplorables” remark, but with even more wide-ranging damage.

Obama is an arrogant and narcissistic man eager to go for a third term, which is precisely why, contrary to the established practice of ex-presidents discreetly exiting mainstream politics, he’s been hanging around the edges of the Washington power circles, like a bad smell that simply can’t be got out of the room, no matter how many windows are opened.

But in three years time, there will have occurred significant shifts in both his own fortunes and the political landscape. The first is the counter investigations, which have only just begun, of the corruption of the DoJ, FBI and the IRS will have deeply tainted the media narrative of a Camelot-like image of his administration. One way or another, you either ordered illegal things done via White House cutouts, or if you didn’t know what was going on, you were out of control of a bunch of over-zealous minions happy to piss all over the law, never mind the constitution. Neither story can be spun well on the damage limitation front.

My feeling is we’ve got three years ahead of us rocks being turned over, and even more dark slimy creatures of the Obama years being exposed to the light and scuttling desperately to get out of it. I suspect there’s a lot more to be uncovered than just Benghazi, uranium sales to the Russians, shady deals with Iran or looking the other way while Hezbollah shipped drugs into America. You’ll have been found out.

Nobody believes the mainstream media these days, or to be more precise, the people who vote Trump, or are likely to, don’t. Also, the people who believed their narrative about him and Clinton the last time, will have by then discovered Trump doesn’t have horns and a tail, and he’ll be siphoning off a significant portion of what used to be the Democrat bedrock vote.

Another of the big lessons of the 2016 election, is that what was always your greatest asset, the mainstream media, proved to be not as influential a factor as they used to be, and in three years time, I can see them having considerably less influence on the course of events. They burned too many bridges of trust behind them in that election. Trust, once lost, is never fully regained.

Don’t forget, so many fervent supporters of Trump in the presidential election of 2016 were embittered refugees from the Obama style of politics. Once they saw through him, and with growing horror realised he was all about show but actually did nothing but fine words and more show, and more show, and more show, they switched to a politician who could deliver what they craved – change. He delivered for them, so they won’t be coming back into the fold.

The old slick politics of identity has gone. They stopped working for Clinton in her campaign for president, though she and her advisers were too thick to see it. Trump did, and you can see it in the shape of his campaign. He never tried appealing to a particular race, religion, creed or minority; his message all the way through was simple.

Vote for me and I’ll deliver change away from the cynical Washington way of doing things that you’re so sick of. Vote for me and I’ll deliver jobs. Vote for me and I’ll protect you from enemies, both foreign and domestic. We’re back to traditional politics, which has a broader appeal that transcends the borders between various self-identified victimhood groups.

If the landscape looks anything like what I’ve just sketched out, Obama would be better advised to stay out of the race and go back to hanging out with his billionaire pals on their private islands or sucking back beers on their yacht. But, as I said, he’s arrogant and against advice might just have a go at it, just to get back at Trump for ripping up his so-called legacy. My feeling is Trump would love to humiliate him in a one on one presidential race, and would do so.

Assuming Obama sees sense and stays out, that just leaves a rather mixed bag of prominent Democrat potential candidates like Waters or Pelosi, both of whom look to have some serious mental or at least Alzheimer issues. The problem the party has is that those at the top have been there for far too long, and by now have a grip on it that’s going to be hard to break. They’re well past their sell by date, and nowadays only serve to get in the way of younger blood trying to rise up through the ranks.

It’s like a sports team where too many of its veteran players are, to put it bluntly, too old to play now and should have been put out to grass years ago. The party failed to grow the next generation of leaders, hence the dearth of solid candidates for 2020.

There’s always Sanders, but he was never anything more than a protest vote against the party machine’s determination to hand Clinton the ticket, and with an investigation in progress against his wife for financial irregularities that ran a college into the ground, he’s probably still have his hands full. He a socialist, and that tends to not do well with the middle America they have to take to stand any chance of winning.

Don’t get me wrong, if Clinton or Obama don’t go for it, there won’t be any lack of candidates to run in the Democrat primaries, but again, if the situation so favours Trump, you’d have to ask yourself about how politically acute such people are to think they might have any chance. The more capable ones will stay out of it, because they know even if they get through the primaries and win the party ticket, having the stigma of being a failed presidential candidate is also usually a ticket to political oblivion.

We are looking three years ahead, and that’s more than enough time for a new relatively unknown figure to emerge from the Democrat congressional ranks.

A bigger consideration here, and again it’s dependent on how much circumstances are in Trump’s favour, is who’s going to contribute millions to what will most probably be a failed campaign? My feeling is anyone going up against a Trump, will end of fighting against a strong candidate with little or almost nothing in terms of financial resources, which are vital when you’re taking a run at the presidency.

After Oprah Winfrey’s stirring speech at the Golden Globes awards ceremony condemning rape and sexual molestation in the show business industry, many liberal and entertainment bosses with deep pockets said they’d contribute to her campaign if she decides to run against Trump. Well, that sorts out the finances for her, doesn’t it? But there may be one or two presentation problems with her as a candidate which would be tougher nuts to crack.

The only hope they have of winning in 2020 is appealing to the rust belt and coal mining states they totally ignored the last time around. They’re going to have to dial back on the east coast/west coast whippy dippy stylish policies and go back to basics, as Trump did. That also means fielding candidates the people of those communities would feel comfortable inviting into their homes. Call me cynical, but I think that’d be a role too far for someone with her checkered past.

Oprah is on camera admitting she’s smoked crack cocaine and wishing for the death of elderly white people. Add in the fact that over the years, she appears to have invented five or more different back stories, but would no doubt have no problem inventing a sixth if it gave her a better shot at the crown. If rumours are to be believed, and they do seem persistent about her, is that there’s a certain thread of sexual lewdness running through them all that manifests itself as a willingness to play on both sides of the fence.

On that front, all you need to know about her is plainly visible in the body language of the picture above. Who’s procuring for whom there? She and her longtime best pal Harvey are practically drooling all over that little girl, but if the Dems can’t find anything better, then run with her.

Even for a political party, a near death experience can be quite rejuvenating.

©Pointman

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Filed under Article · Tagged with Harvey Weinberg, Oprah Winfrey, Poliitics