Redux from 20th October 2016 – I wouldn’t trust them with my security. Why should you?


Though written four years ago, this one touches on several issues of current interest. It was written a couple of weeks before Trump’s victory which laid waste to a lot of carefully laid plans, not to mention years of patient work and money. Mice and assorted men ran in all directions after the shock and … Continue reading

There are only three power blocks in the world – America.


In the previous two articles in the power blocks series, I discussed how the problem of an increasingly assertive Oligarchy turned out differently in China and Russia. The problem in both cases was that their own home-grown and foreign oligarchs wanted a bigger say in the actual running of the countries, if not to rule … Continue reading

There are only three power blocks in the world – Russia.


Between long bouts of silence and mulling over a cogent response, I’m actually a good listener. It’s the only way to learn anything. It often leads to interminable conversations to which my minimal contribution is nothing more than the customary nodding until I feel the onset of logic chip meltdown and suddenly remember my perm … Continue reading

Some geopolitical thoughts on what to watch for in 2019.


Foreword. From a very top slice analysis, there are four significant power blocks around the globe struggling for control of the next fifty or a hundred years of the world’s history. What follows is highly speculative, but sometimes when you play the what if game, some of the at face value options you might initially … Continue reading

Russia 3, Greenpeace 2.


I like the Russians. You spend enough time studying a foreign people, you sort of fall in love with them, because that’s the beginning of understanding them and their country in any real sense. The accent is on liking the people rather than the leadership, who’re what you’re supposed to be focusing on. Despite how … Continue reading

Russia 2, Greenpeace 1.


One of my simple pleasures in life is to spend an occasional evening watching a good sporting event with friends. We all come clinking along with whatever booze we prefer and a few emergency nibbles. It’s usually an evening of decent sport, a little too much to drink and giving each other a hard time … Continue reading

Political fracture points and power vacuums.


A political fracture point is a sudden and radical change in the political landscape. In classical times, it would be the collapse of an empire, such as the Roman Empire. In the last century, World War I resulted in the outright destruction of several, such as the German Empire, and ultimately fatal damage to others, … Continue reading