Some thoughts on the 2018 mid-terms.

After a quick scan through the liberal part of the media, which pretty much means all of it, you’d think the fabled blue wave had swamped America, but the reality is it signally failed to appear. Not only that, but the more extreme Democrat candidates such as O’Rourke, Gillum and Abrams failed to get elected. On the outside chance that Bernie Sanders fancies his chances in 2020, they’d have been useful supporters, but best to stay in the reality zone, though I’d absolutely love him to run if Hillary feels indisposed. ie Drunk.

Losing control of the House was always being kicked around as an each way bet, which eventually came out in the Dem’s favour. I can think of three reasons for this. The first is electoral fraud in marginal districts which seemed widespread on the Dem side. Judging from the number of people being charged with committing criminal acts like intercepting postal ballots, filling them in as a Democrat vote and sending them back in as valid votes. There’s a real problem there. I think the only thing to correct these sort of abuses is true electoral reform, but of course the Dems will fight it tooth and nail since so many of their votes are just plain illegal.

The second reason was the number of GOP candidates retiring from congress. The gross figure was 39, but after adjustment for 13 applying for other jobs in politics, it still leaves 26 pure retirements. If you exclude the 2008 election where 27 GOP candidates resigned, that’s the highest number of GOP resignations since 1974. A large proportion of these contained prominent anti-Trump voices, who knew they weren’t going to have a prosperous political career under a Trump administration and the reshaping of the GOP he was doing. It was a parting fuck you to Trump rather than having the loyalty to support their own party. The revenge of the RINOs, but also in the long term, a good clear out of the out of date dross, in my opinion.

The third reason is the Dems offering the voters free things swayed a significant number of dunderheads in the marginals. Of course, as anyone over twelve and a half knows, there’s no such thing as a freebie from a government. Somebody – that would be you by the way – has to pay for it. Where does the money come from? Higher taxes, of course. Wherever you look, conservatives run a country’s economy much better than left-wingers or socialists. For example, Venezuela had a rich prosperous economy, actually exported oil until the country took it into its head to go crazy and vote Hugo Chavez into power. In the space of 15 years, it’s now turned into a socialist dictatorship and its people are quite literally starving.

This particular type of madness typically occurs towards the end of a successful conservative administration’s second or third term. Times are good; taxes are low, unemployment is a fraction of what it used to be, memories are short and the economy is back on its feet and pumping iron. People feel they can afford to be generous to the less fortunate. That pattern is usually first a pull on the voter’s heart strings followed by a swift pull on their purse strings. That’s how you become Venezuela, which notably not a single Dem mentions in public. I think that particular self-destructive impulse may have played a part, but a relatively small one this time around.

I’m not sure what to name this phenomenon, perhaps the altruistic aberration (™), but after the socialists run out of spending other people’s money and it’s all gone and the economy looks like it’s been hit by a barrage of MOABs, they get voted out and the conservatives get handed the whole bloody mess to start the reconstruction. After the usual austerity regime and then the resultant prosperity, the altruistic aberration kicks in yet again and here we go, here we go, once again round the Mulberry bush, the Mulberry bush. Again and bloody again, right down through the years.

In Britain, the outgoing Chancellor of the Exchequer of the outgoing socialist government left a brief message to his incoming replacement. It read quite simply and in its entirety – “Dear chief secretary, I’m afraid to tell you there’s no money left …

What will be the effect? Losing the House came as no surprise to the Trump administration. Unlike the fake news media, politicians have to deal with the harsh realities. It should be remembered that congress usually operates on different parties controlling either the House or Senate, and in some cases the political opposition controlling both of them against an incumbent president of a totally different political stripe, as happened with Obama.

However, given the choice, I’d much rather have control of the Senate rather than the House, since it’s so much more powerful.

Trump will simply continue what he’s been doing for the last two years – playing the long game. Keep feeding a constant stream of Democrat scandal to the news machine, use the Senate to shoot down any madness proposed by a deranged House and if all else fails, himself using the presidential veto on anything that gets through which he doesn’t like and of course letting the Mueller investigation grind on unearthing lots of manure about malpractice and corruption all over Washington. Basically, keep on chipping away at the Dem establishment, both now and in the Obama years of stagnation.

I’ll hold my hand up and freely admit I thought it’d be a Trump landslide, but I was wrong. Mea culpa, mea culpa. Instead, certain states for reasons beyond my understanding handed control to deranged people like Maxine Waters, Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Elijah Cummings to run the House and some important committees, not forgetting putting somebody like Rashida Tlaib into office who’d draped herself in a Palestinian flag after winning her primaries. I wonder what the GIs getting their asses shot off protecting such rubbish feel about that?

Trump is without a doubt the finest politician of his generation, but since he’s only been in the politics game for three years, that’s a sad comment on the fitness of the political establishment that was in place in Washington before his arrival. He’s a deal maker. If a Dem House can’t or won’t cooperate with the GOP Senate, he’ll simply veto everything they propose until the come to their senses and sit down at the negotiation table.

Floating insane bills from the House to almost certainly be rejected by the Senate or him just to score political brownie points, is a game two people can play. He might even start ripping up even more legislation originally put in place by previous Dem administrations. He’s no problem playing hardball when it’s the effective move to make.

Safely out of sight of their more loony supporters, they will eventually come to the table.

Without being too sanguine about it, losing the House is more an inconvenience than anything. Sure, it’ll slow things down, but as we found out under Obama’s rule by diktat, pretty much anything can be but into effect by an Executive Order bypassing congress completely, and my feeling the Dems appealing to a SCOTUS he’s already got in his hip pocket will ultimately be futile.

Historically, mid-terms are very rarely good for an incumbent president, but standing back from it, this one was distinctly so so, but if the results of 2018 are the best they could do and there’s no changes in policy or leadership before 2020, the Dems will be having a hard time.

There’s a scene in that classic movie Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid where they’re actually applying for an honest job protecting gold shipments from a mine. The guy who’s hiring them throws out something for Sundance to hit and forces him to use the classic marksman stance, and Sundance misses. He holsters his gun and their potential employer starts walking away but Sundance asks him, can I move?

Without waiting for a reply he quick draws and on pure reflex marksmanship, he puts one round into the object on the ground and a second one into it once it’s been blasted up into the air. “I’m better when I move” he remarks.

Look carefully at Trump next time you watch him talking to a rally. He actually enjoys being president and all the pressures that come with a job like that. Like Sundance, some people perform better under pressure. Trump is one of those people.

©Pointman

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Comments
9 Responses to “Some thoughts on the 2018 mid-terms.”
  1. Blackswan says:

    Pointman,

    It’s beyond my understanding as to how or why American voters could possibly see merit in trying to derail the Trump Train in its journey to success and prosperity, or why Trump failed to prosecute the criminals who opposed him.

    Meanwhile in Australia, the crooked Marxist/Socialist Labor Party are an odds-on certainty to seize control at our next election.

    How often have we heard the maxim “In a democracy people get the governments they deserve.”?

    I’ve always railed against this nugget of ‘wisdom’, being adamant that honest, hardworking citizens didn’t deserve the blatant corruption of political apparatchiks, or that our Ship of State should have its helm seized by Organised Crime, as it has been for decades.

    These past weeks have changed my view of the geopolitical landscape – we, as a people, really do deserve what we get. Our collective stupidity makes it so.

    In seeking the correct attribution for that original quote, I came across the French lawyer, diplomat, writer and philosopher Joseph de Maistre, a man I’d never heard of before (gotta lurve the internet).

    Two hundred years ago de Maistre had a most interesting perspective on the ‘affairs of men’ and they still hold true today … https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Joseph_de_Maistre

    My favourite quote being; “False opinions are like false money, struck first of all by guilty men and thereafter circulated by honest people who perpetuate the crime without knowing what they are doing.”

    How true is that? And on so many levels.

    Recent generations have been rendered incapable of critical thinking, are bound by group-think indoctrination, and are too timid (in mind and body) to defend their freedoms and independence, so perhaps I’m being too judgemental in thinking they deserve to lose all they’ve given away without a fight. But then, they aren’t ‘victims’ either.

    They sleepwalk through their complacent lives in a miasma of political and judicial corruption, wilfully blind to the harsh realities of life, always taking the ‘line of least resistance’. It’s easier that way.

    Well, screw that! Yes, they DO deserve to lose all that their forebears entrusted to their safekeeping – it’s just a pity that the rest of us are dragged along with them.

    But that’s Democracy for you … purely a ’numbers game’, where Right is no longer Might, and it’s every man (or woman) for themselves.

    Time to circle the wagons, and take care of our own.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Blackswan says:

      By the way … another de Maistre quote that really nailed my attention;

      “All grandeur, all power, all subordination to authority rests on the executioner: he is the horror and the bond of human association. Remove this incomprehensible agent from the world and at that very moment order gives way to chaos, thrones topple and society disappears.”

      Think about it.

      Excluding Riyadh’s Chop Chop Square where the people live in mortal fear of self-proclaimed Bedouin kings and the Religious Thought Police, Paris no longer echoes to the thud of Madame Guillotine lopping off the heads of the corrupt rich and powerful to the grateful applause of the peasantry, Romans no longer see their crucified criminals mounted along their well-built roads as silent sentinels warning of the fate of wrongdoers and the Brits no longer witness public hangings or see their heroes drawn and quartered and being cast to all points of the compass … BUT … what has been left behind?

      Joseph de Maistre was right again.

      Without swift and immediate consequences we’re left with Chaos … we’re left with the murderous Clintons, Bushes and Obamas of the world who smugly preen that they’re beyond consequence for their crimes.

      Fear of violent Chaos stalks the streets of London, Paris, Brussels, Stockholm et al.

      We are watching de Maistre’s “society” disappear up its own fundamental orifice.

      Like

  2. NZPete says:

    Thank you for putting it into perspective, Pointman. I was disappointed, but agree that this is a long game.
    BTW, “he’ll simply veto everything they propose until the come to their senses” – “the come” should be “they come”.

    Like

  3. NZPete says:

    Thomas Wictor, who is the “only WWI flame thrower expert” has been banned from twitter (with a following of >140K), went to gab and found himself threatened by Nazi types (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CX2I1SZk3YY – worth watching if you have the time). He opened a facebook account and was banned there too in short order.
    I find him very interesting. His analysis of the mid-term election result is here:

    Also worth listening to.
    Now he has established his own web site: https://quodverum.com/ – having just checked there I find only his latest article there, but hopefully that will change and his early posting(s) will be readable.

    Like

  4. Graeme No.3 says:

    I am not sure that his hat will turn into a huge fashion idea.
    As for his thoughts, I think he might have given some thought to Trump’s rudeness which upset a lot of women, especially given the MSM enthusiasm in bringing it up.
    The problem for the Democrats is that they see the next 2 years as a continued circus of harassment and humiliation for Trump, leading to his Impeachment. Well, the latter won’t happen with the Republicans controlling the Senate and ignores Trump ever going on the attack and exposing the Democrat’s dirty behaviour, while blaming them for obstruction.

    Like

    • Seeker says:

      I think you are right about Trump exposing Democrars in his own good time. Reading Sundance at the CTH, he must have a lot of dirt to hold over their heads. I never bought that stuff about playing four dimensional chess;I do suspect he is playing one dimensional blackmail…

      Like

  5. rapscallion says:

    I never thought it would be a Trump landslide, which paradoxically would not be a good thing right now Pointman. Play the long game squire, just like Trump is doing. Having the Dems take the house is for a start, par for the course. The incumbent party (whoever is in the WH) always suffer during the mid terms. Obummer lost 50 or so, and Clinton lost nearly 60. The good thing about it all is that it clears out some RINO deadwood AND more importantly fools the Dems into thinking that their potty policies are what the people want. They don’t. In 2 years time, the House will flip back to the GOP again and the Dems will be utterly slaughtered.

    Increasing the number of seats in the Senate is the biggie, because it controls who gets appointed to the Supreme Court and can crush any impeachment attempts.

    In short, the Dems are playing checkers and Trump is playing chess.

    Like

    • gallopingcamel says:

      Getting rid of those back stabbing RINOs is huge. I am an unaffiliated voter who resigned from the GOP in 2002 because the elected GOP office holders were more inclined to fight each other than oppose the disastrous policies of the Dems.

      I lost faith in the democratic process and the idea that things could be improved via elections. It simply did not matter who was elected…….nothing was going to change as long as the donor class was in charge.

      Then came the rebirth of hope with Donald Trump. Hope that meaningful reforms could happen. Hope that the nation would be run for the benefit of the people rather than the elites.

      However Trump has yet to cleanse our corrupt institutions (aka the “Deep State”). Will he get the support he needs to appoint honest cops to run the FBI? What about all the other three letter agencies? The rot started by James Clapper and John Brennan has likely penetrated deep into the guts of the CIA and NSA but you have no way to find out.

      Maybe my counterparts in other nations (We, the little people) will be impressed by what Donald Trump is doing and reject the malign control of “Globalists”.

      Like

  6. gallopingcamel says:

    As Blackswan states, the government in the USA is corrupt. We are ruled by thieves who enrich themselves and their supporters from the public purse.

    Donald Trump may be our last chance to avoid the fate of Venezuela. Can he succeed? In spite of his amazing achievements his supporters are lukewarm while his opponents are fired up as explained by Nicolo Machiavelli in chapter VI of “The Prince” published in 1515:

    “And it ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them. Thus it happens that whenever those who are hostile have the opportunity to attack they do it like partisans, whilst the others defend lukewarmly, in such wise that the prince is endangered along with them.”

    Before y’all get too downhearted the above well known quote is preceded by this sentence:

    “Those who by valorous ways become princes, like these men, acquire a principality with difficulty, but they keep it with ease. The difficulties they have in acquiring it rise in part from the new rules and methods which they are forced to introduce to establish their government and its security. ”

    Trump became a prince in a valorous way (he had to fight for it). IMHO this suggests that Trump’s struggles to gain and hold on to power will be rewarded by a landslide victory in 2020 akin to that of Ronaldus Magnus in 1984.

    Donaldus Magnus? Will he be the best president since Abraham Lincoln? Will he be the best president since George Washington? We shall see.

    Like

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